Quantifying safety in the partially observable environment: application to autonomous vehicles

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Date
2024-05
Authors
Islam, Md Rayhanul
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Wongpiromsarn, Tichakorn
Basu, Samik
Lutz, Robyn
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Altmetrics
Abstract
The safety of autonomous systems (vehicles) largely depends on their ability to synthesize policies in a dynamic and uncertain environment. Traditional methods for policy synthesis use formal verification techniques by relying on precise models (such as Markov Chains or Markov Decision Processes) of other agents within the system. However, in the real-world scenario, uncertainty exists in the transition behavior of different agents, which makes it challenging to construct accurate models. This leads to situations of partial observability due to the agent's inability to observe the actual transition dynamics of other agents or environments. Therefore, in the presence of this type of partial observability, agents may build different models of the same agent. Research shows that inconsistencies in the perception of agents regarding other agents' models could make the overall system unsafe. This research presents an approach to quantify the safety of the overall system in the partially observable environment among interacting heterogeneous agents. Agents consider the behavior of the environment as a set of Markov chains, and each Markov chain describes the possible behavior of the environment or an agent. In order to synthesize policies, the agent constructs a belief environment model to construct the complete system. The findings show that constructing policies without considering the inconsistencies among other agents may increase the probability of making the complete system unsafe. Finally, this approach is run on the autonomous vehicle simulator CARLA to support our findings.
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