A study of the relationship between population growth and community college enrollment change in metropolitan statistical areas of the United States
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Abstract
Publicly controlled comprehensive community colleges in the United States showed significant enrollment increases between 1990 and 2000. Much of the enrollment growth was observed to have occurred in fast-growing metropolitan areas primarily in the Western and Southern states. Factors that contributed to enrollment growth were similar to those contributing to population growth: increases in immigrant populations, an abundance of employment opportunities and areas such as information technology and health care whose primary skilled workforce earn training and skills through community colleges. General increases in postsecondary education enrollment, open-door enrollment policies, services for immigrant populations and policies toward low tuition also contributed to community college enrollment increases. This study collected data from the U.S. Bureau of the Census and the Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS) in the years 1990 and 2000 to seek a statistically significant relationship between population growth in selected metropolitan statistical areas (MSA) and comprehensive community colleges serving those MSAs. The study was a nonexperimental, correlational design. A set of 30 community colleges representing slow-growth MSAs (mean population growth of 5.33 percent) and 37 representing fast-growth MSA (mean populations growth of 35.973 percent) were compared using an analysis of variance (ANOVA) test and a correlation analysis. The mean enrollment growth for community colleges in the fast-growth MSA group was 27.4765 percent and 26.0550 percent for the slow-growth group. A calculated p value of .909 and a correlation coefficient of .14 indicates neither statistically significant difference in community college enrollment growth nor a correlation between population increase (or decrease) and community college enrollment growth.