Election Forensics and the 2004 Venezuelan Presidential Recall Referendum as a Case Study

dc.contributor.author Carriquiry, Alicia
dc.contributor.author Carriquiry, Alicia
dc.contributor.department Statistics
dc.date 2018-02-17T06:12:49.000
dc.date.accessioned 2020-07-02T06:57:12Z
dc.date.available 2020-07-02T06:57:12Z
dc.date.copyright Sat Jan 01 00:00:00 UTC 2011
dc.date.issued 2011-01-01
dc.description.abstract <p>A referendum to recall President Hugo Chávez was held in Venezuela in August of 2004. In the referendum, voters were to vote YES if they wished to recall the President and NO if they wanted him to continue in office. The official results were 59% NO and 41% YES. Even though the election was monitored by various international groups including the Organization of American States and the Carter Center (both of which declared that the referendum had been conducted in a free and transparent manner), the outcome of the election was questioned by other groups both inside and outside of Venezuela. The collection of manuscripts that comprise this issue of Statistical Science discusses the general topic of election forensics but also focuses on different statistical approaches to explore, post-election, whether irregularities in the voting, vote transmission or vote counting processes could be detected in the 2004 presidential recall referendum. In this introduction to the Venezuela issue, we discuss the more recent literature on postelection auditing, describe the institutional context for the 2004 Venezuelan referendum, and briefly introduce each of the five contributions.</p>
dc.description.comments <p>This article is from <em>Statistical Science</em> 26 (2011): 471, doi: <a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1214/11-STS379" target="_blank">10.1214/11-STS379</a>. Posted with permission.</p>
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf
dc.identifier archive/lib.dr.iastate.edu/stat_las_pubs/21/
dc.identifier.articleid 1021
dc.identifier.contextkey 7850100
dc.identifier.s3bucket isulib-bepress-aws-west
dc.identifier.submissionpath stat_las_pubs/21
dc.identifier.uri https://dr.lib.iastate.edu/handle/20.500.12876/90521
dc.language.iso en
dc.source.bitstream archive/lib.dr.iastate.edu/stat_las_pubs/21/2011_CarriquiryAL_ElectionForensics2004.pdf|||Fri Jan 14 22:32:39 UTC 2022
dc.source.uri 10.1214/11-STS379
dc.subject.disciplines Statistics and Probability
dc.subject.keywords Election forensics
dc.subject.keywords post-election audits
dc.subject.keywords Venezuelan Presidential Recall Referendum
dc.subject.keywords exit polls
dc.subject.keywords electronic voting systems
dc.subject.keywords election accuracy
dc.title Election Forensics and the 2004 Venezuelan Presidential Recall Referendum as a Case Study
dc.type article
dc.type.genre article
dspace.entity.type Publication
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relation.isOrgUnitOfPublication 264904d9-9e66-4169-8e11-034e537ddbca
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