Forecasting Food Crop Production: An Application to East Java
dc.contributor.author | Roche, Frederick | |
dc.contributor.author | Kesavan, Thulasiram | |
dc.contributor.department | Center for Agricultural and Rural Development | |
dc.date | 2018-02-17T15:29:34.000 | |
dc.date.accessioned | 2020-06-30T01:01:30Z | |
dc.date.available | 2020-06-30T01:01:30Z | |
dc.date.copyright | Fri Jan 01 00:00:00 UTC 1993 | |
dc.date.embargo | 2016-03-30 | |
dc.date.issued | 1993-03-01 | |
dc.description.abstract | <p>A framework for seasonal crop forecasting was developed and applied to East Java. The model includes seasonal areas and yields of rice and the major secondary crops on the basis of lagged data on rainfall, prices, crop areas, and intensification targets. Overall, rainfall, lagged crop areas, and intensification programs are observed to be strong predictors of production. The analysis also indicated that price effects were generally not statistically significant for area but were important for determining rice, corn, and soybean yields. The model performed well in out of sample projections.</p> | |
dc.identifier | archive/lib.dr.iastate.edu/card_staffreports/39/ | |
dc.identifier.articleid | 1047 | |
dc.identifier.contextkey | 8401268 | |
dc.identifier.s3bucket | isulib-bepress-aws-west | |
dc.identifier.submissionpath | card_staffreports/39 | |
dc.identifier.uri | https://dr.lib.iastate.edu/handle/20.500.12876/12315 | |
dc.source.bitstream | archive/lib.dr.iastate.edu/card_staffreports/39/93sr60.pdf|||Fri Jan 14 23:54:52 UTC 2022 | |
dc.subject.disciplines | Agricultural and Resource Economics | |
dc.subject.disciplines | Agricultural Science | |
dc.subject.disciplines | Agriculture | |
dc.subject.disciplines | Statistical Models | |
dc.subject.keywords | Agriculture | |
dc.subject.keywords | Agronomy | |
dc.subject.keywords | Models and assessment tools | |
dc.title | Forecasting Food Crop Production: An Application to East Java | |
dc.type | article | |
dc.type.genre | article | |
dspace.entity.type | Publication | |
relation.isOrgUnitOfPublication | 1a6be5f1-4f64-4e48-bb66-03bbcc25c76d |
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