Analysis of Alumni-Giving Behavior With MCMC Method
Date
2021-01-01
Authors
Li, Yusi
Major Professor
Cindy Yu
Advisor
Committee Member
Journal Title
Journal ISSN
Volume Title
Publisher
Altmetrics
Abstract
Alumni giving has become a main source of income for many colleges and universities in the United States. In this paper, we impose a dynamic linear model to predict the alumni-giving behavior by capturing the dynamic of the university-alumni interactions and use MCMC method to do estimation. In the simulation studies, we demonstrate that MCMC method can provide accurate estimation for model parameters and latent dynamic linear cofficients. We apply the MCMC method to a real alumni giving data between 2009 and 2016 and show that our model can have high accuracy of prediction using the data without missing values.
Series Number
Journal Issue
Is Version Of
Versions
Series
Academic or Administrative Unit
Type
creative component
Comments
Rights Statement
Copyright
Fri Jan 01 00:00:00 UTC 2021