Undergraduate International Student Enrollment Forecasting Model: An Application of Time Series Analysis

dc.contributor.author Chen, Yu
dc.contributor.author Hagedorn, Linda
dc.contributor.author Li, Ran
dc.contributor.author Hagedorn, Linda
dc.contributor.department School of Education
dc.date 2020-04-28T18:48:11.000
dc.date.accessioned 2020-06-30T02:15:38Z
dc.date.available 2020-06-30T02:15:38Z
dc.date.copyright Tue Jan 01 00:00:00 UTC 2019
dc.date.issued 2019-01-01
dc.description.abstract <p>This study developed statistical models to forecast international undergraduate student enrollment at a Midwest university. The authors constructed a SARIMA (Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) model with input variables to estimate future enrollment. The SARIMA model reflected enrollment patterns by semester through highlighting seasonality. Further, authors added input variables such as visa policy changes, the rapid increase of Chinese undergraduate enrollment, and tuition rate into the model estimation. The visa policy change and the increase of Chinese undergraduate enrollment were significant predictors of international undergraduate enrollment. The effect of tuition rates was significant but minimal in magnitude. Findings of this study generate significant implications for policy, enrollment management, and student services for international students.</p>
dc.description.comments <p>This article is published as Chen, Y., Li, R., & Hagedorn, L. S. (2019). Undergraduate International Student Enrollment Forecasting Model: An Application of Time Series Analysis. Journal of International Students, 9(1), 242-261. doi: <a target="_blank">10.32674/jis.v9i1.266</a></p>
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf
dc.identifier archive/lib.dr.iastate.edu/edu_pubs/151/
dc.identifier.articleid 1150
dc.identifier.contextkey 17554671
dc.identifier.s3bucket isulib-bepress-aws-west
dc.identifier.submissionpath edu_pubs/151
dc.identifier.uri https://dr.lib.iastate.edu/handle/20.500.12876/22861
dc.language.iso en
dc.source.bitstream archive/lib.dr.iastate.edu/edu_pubs/151/2019_HagedornLS_Undergraduate_International_Student.pdf|||Fri Jan 14 20:36:00 UTC 2022
dc.source.uri 10.32674/jis.v9i1.266
dc.subject.disciplines Bilingual, Multilingual, and Multicultural Education
dc.subject.disciplines Educational Assessment, Evaluation, and Research
dc.subject.disciplines Education Economics
dc.subject.disciplines Higher Education
dc.subject.keywords enrollment management
dc.subject.keywords SARIMA model
dc.subject.keywords time series analysis
dc.subject.keywords international students
dc.title Undergraduate International Student Enrollment Forecasting Model: An Application of Time Series Analysis
dc.type article
dc.type.genre article
dspace.entity.type Publication
relation.isAuthorOfPublication 192b38ed-fb0c-412a-b4b1-1badda23c4d3
relation.isOrgUnitOfPublication 385cf52e-6bde-4882-ae38-cd86c9b11fce
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