A statistical approach to aid examiners in the forensic analysis of handwriting

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Date
2023-09
Authors
Crawford, Amy M.
Ommen, Danica M.
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Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of American Academy of Forensic Sciences
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We develop a statistical approach to model handwriting that accommodates all styles of writing (cursive, print, connected print). The goal is to compute a posterior probability of writership of a questioned document given a closed set of candidate writers. Such probabilistic statements can support examiner conclusions and enable a quantitative forensic evaluation of handwritten documents. Writing is treated as a sequence of disjoint graphical structures, which are extracted using an automated and open-source process. The graphs are grouped based on the similarity of their shapes through a K-means clustering template. A person's writing pattern can be characterized by the rate at which graphs are emitted to each cluster. The cluster memberships serve as data for a Bayesian hierarchical model with a mixture component. The rate of mixing between two parameters in the hierarchy indicates writing style.
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This article is published as Crawford AM, Ommen DM, Carriquiry AL. A statistical approach to aid examiners in the forensic analysis of handwriting. J Forensic Sci. 2023;68:1768–79. https://doi.org/10.1111/1556-4029.15337. © 2023 The Authors. Posted with permission of CSAFE.

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